Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.000070 0.000083 0.000098 0.000114 0.000132 0.000152 0.000175
2025-03-16 0.000053 0.000070 0.000090 0.000114 0.000143 0.000176 0.000215
2025-03-23 0.000044 0.000063 0.000086 0.000115 0.000151 0.000193 0.000244
2025-03-30 0.000036 0.000056 0.000081 0.000114 0.000157 0.000207 0.000271
2025-04-06 0.000029 0.000049 0.000075 0.000112 0.000159 0.000216 0.000291
2025-04-13 0.000026 0.000046 0.000075 0.000115 0.000169 0.000235 0.000323
2025-04-20 0.000021 0.000041 0.000069 0.000111 0.000168 0.000241 0.000338
2025-04-27 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000110 0.000172 0.000251 0.000359
2025-05-04 0.000015 0.000034 0.000064 0.000110 0.000176 0.000262 0.000381
2025-05-11 0.000014 0.000033 0.000064 0.000114 0.000185 0.000280 0.000412
2025-05-18 0.000012 0.000031 0.000063 0.000115 0.000191 0.000293 0.000436
2025-05-25 0.000010 0.000027 0.000059 0.000111 0.000189 0.000296 0.000448
2025-06-01 0.000008 0.000025 0.000056 0.000110 0.000192 0.000306 0.000470
2025-06-08 0.000007 0.000023 0.000054 0.000109 0.000196 0.000318 0.000494
2025-06-15 0.000006 0.000021 0.000053 0.000110 0.000202 0.000332 0.000522
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000019 0.000051 0.000109 0.000204 0.000341 0.000543
2025-06-29 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000107 0.000205 0.000347 0.000560
2025-07-06 0.000003 0.000017 0.000048 0.000110 0.000214 0.000367 0.000595
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000015 0.000045 0.000106 0.000211 0.000369 0.000606
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000013 0.000043 0.000106 0.000214 0.000378 0.000628
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000012 0.000042 0.000105 0.000217 0.000388 0.000650
2025-08-03 0.000001 0.000012 0.000043 0.000109 0.000227 0.000408 0.000687
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000011 0.000042 0.000110 0.000232 0.000421 0.000715